Cyclone Mocha, Bangladesh Situation

Another typhoon named MOCHA shaped over the southern Sound of Bengal on 11 May and began pushing north-east toward western Myanmar. On 11 May at 0.00 UTC its middle was situated over the ocean around 460 km west of the Andaman and Nicobar Islands (India), with most extreme supported breezes of 65 km/h (typhoon). MOCHA is estimate to proceed with northeastward over the Cove of Bengal on 12-13 May, reinforcing. From that point onward, it is normal to make landfall over the area of Sittwe City (the capital Rakhine State, western Myanmar, close to south-eastern Bangladesh) with greatest supported breezes up to 165 km/h (typhoon). North of 12-14 May, weighty precipitation, solid breezes and tempest flood are figure for western and south-western Myanmar. (Reverberation, 11 May 2023)

While the track and force of the typhoon are as yet developing, most estimates as of now have the tornado crossing the coast between Kyaukphyu in Myanmar’s Rakhine State and Cox’s Bazar in Bangladesh on 14 May. This typhoon influence region in Rakhine is low-lying and exceptionally inclined to flooding. Weighty downpours and solid breezes are subsequently expected to hit inland networks in the Northwest which are additionally inclined to avalanches and flooding. This is the main twister to undermine Myanmar this Rainstorm season and there are grave worries about the effect particularly on the all around defenseless and uprooted networks with decreased adapting limit. Of specific concern is what is happening confronting 232,100 individuals who are uprooted across Rakhine. The Myanmar philanthropic Crisis Reaction Readiness Plan has been initiated cross country starting from the beginning of the week. (OCHA, 12 May 2023)

 Wind speed

130 km/h, not surpassing 150 km/h during landfall. Source: (BMD, IMD, ECMWF, GFS)

Landfall area

Southeast Bangladesh and north Myanmar coasts between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar) [Source BMD and IMD]

Landfall time

14 May 2023 Around 12:00pm BST (Source IMD)

Current Circumstance:

• The Bangladesh Meteorological Division (BMD) expressed the exceptionally serious Cyclonic tempest “Mocha” (articulation: Mokha, ECP: 974 HPA) over east focal Sound and abutting region moved North-NorthEastwards over a similar region (close to Lat: 14.5°N, Lon: 88.5°E) and was focused at 06pm today(12 May 2023) around 930 kms South-Southwest of Chattogram Port , 860 kms South-southwest of Cox’sBazar port, 890 kms South-Southwest of Mongla Port and 855 kms South-Southwest of Payra Port. It is probably going to escalate further and move in a North-NorthEasterly heading and cross Cox’s Bazar-North Myanmar coast around 06 am to 06 pm of 14 May 2023. Cox’s Bazar and connecting waterfront locales will encounter the fringe impact of the exceptionally extreme cyclonic tempest by the night of 13 May 2023. (BMD Exceptional weather conditions Release No #12, 1800 BST, 12 May 2023).

• Greatest supported breeze speed inside 74 km ofthe exceptionally serious typhoon place is around 140 kph ascending to 160 kph in blasts/gusts. Ocean will remain exceptionally high close to the tempest community.

• Sea ports of Cox’s bazar and Chattogram have been encouraged to bring down nearby advance notice signal number four however rather to hoise Extraordinary Peril signal no. 08 (eight). Oceanic ports of Mongla and Payra have been encouraged to raised nearby advance notice signal number four.

• The seaside locale of Cox’s Bazar, Chattogram, Feni, Noakhali, Lakshmipur, Chandpur, Bhola, and their outshore islands and scorches will go under Incredible Peril signal no. 08 (eight).

• The low-lying region of the waterfront locale of Cox’s Bazar and Chattogram and their seaward islands and burns are probably going to be immersed by the breeze driven flood level 08-12 feet above typical cosmic tide. The low-lying region of the waterfront locale of Feni, Noakhali, Lakshmipur, Chandpur, Bhola and their seaward islands and scorches are probably going to be immersed by the breeze driven flood level 05-07 feet above ordinary galactic tide.

• All fishing boats and trawllers over north cove have been encouraged to stay in cover till additional notification.

• There is a likelihood of weighty to extremely weighty precipitation over the south-east bank of Bangladesh.

• As indicated by IMD, the Exceptionally Extreme Cyclonic Tempest “Mocha” (articulated as “Mokha”) over Focal Inlet of Bengal moved almost north-northeastwards with a speed of 12 kmph during recent hours and lay focused at 1730 hours IST of today, the twelfth May 2023 over a similar locale close to scope 14.6°N and longitude 88.6°E, around 550 km northwest of Port Blair, 730 km south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and 760 km southwest of Sittwe (Myanmar).

• It is probably going to move north-northeastwards and increase further into a Very Extreme Cyclonic Tempest over Eastcentral Inlet of Bengal during evening of today, the twelfth May 2023. It is probably going to cross southeast Bangladesh and north Myanmar coasts between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar), near Sittwe (Myanmar) around early afternoon of fourteenth May, 2023 as an Extremely Serious Cyclonic Tempest with greatest supported breeze speed of 150-160 kmph blasting to 175 kmph.